La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 8, 2022 at 1pm UK

Estadio de los Juegos Mediterráneos

Almeria
3 - 1
Rayo Vallecano

Robertone (8'), Babic (17'), Bilal Toure (39')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Catena (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Almeria and Rayo Vallecano, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Almeria

All competitions

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 4-0 Almeria
Friday, September 30 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Rayo Vallecano

All competitions

Last Game: Rayo Vallecano 2-1 Elche
Monday, October 3 at 8pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.

Result
Almeria	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
45.79% ( -0.07)	26.63% ( 0.04)	27.58% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 49.1% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.69% (

-0.12)

55.31% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.47% (

-0.09)

76.52% (

0.09)

Almeria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.9% (

-0.09)

24.1% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.61% (

-0.12)

58.39% (

0.12)

Rayo Vallecano Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.68% (

-0.03)

35.31% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.92% (

-0.04)

72.07% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Almeria 45.79%

Rayo Vallecano 27.58%

Draw 26.62%

Almeria	Draw	Rayo Vallecano
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.79%	1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.58%