Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Almeria win with a probability of 45.79%. A win for Rayo Vallecano had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Almeria win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Rayo Vallecano win was 0-1 (8.86%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Almeria would win this match.
Result | ||
Almeria | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
45.79% ( -0.07) | 26.63% ( 0.04) | 27.58% ( 0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.1% ( -0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.69% ( -0.12) | 55.31% ( 0.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.47% ( -0.09) | 76.52% ( 0.09) |
Almeria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.9% ( -0.09) | 24.1% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.61% ( -0.12) | 58.39% ( 0.12) |
Rayo Vallecano Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.68% ( -0.03) | 35.31% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.92% ( -0.04) | 72.07% ( 0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Almeria | Draw | Rayo Vallecano |
1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.62% ( -0) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.09% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.21% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 45.79% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.51% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.84% Total : 26.62% | 0-1 @ 8.86% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.61% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.28% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0) Other @ 2.05% Total : 27.58% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Madrid | 33 | 26 | 6 | 1 | 71 | 22 | 49 | 84 |
2 | GironaGirona | 33 | 22 | 5 | 6 | 69 | 40 | 29 | 71 |
3 | Barcelona | 32 | 21 | 7 | 4 | 64 | 37 | 27 | 70 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 33 | 20 | 4 | 9 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 64 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 33 | 16 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 33 | 20 | 58 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 33 | 13 | 12 | 8 | 46 | 35 | 11 | 51 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 33 | 12 | 13 | 8 | 41 | 39 | 2 | 49 |
8 | Valencia | 32 | 13 | 8 | 11 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 47 |
9 | Villarreal | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 54 | 55 | -1 | 45 |
10 | Getafe | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | 41 | 45 | -4 | 43 |
11 | Osasuna | 33 | 11 | 6 | 16 | 37 | 49 | -12 | 39 |
12 | Sevilla | 33 | 9 | 11 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 38 |
13 | AlavesAlaves | 33 | 10 | 8 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 38 |
14 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 30 | 41 | -11 | 37 |
15 | Rayo Vallecano | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 27 | 42 | -15 | 34 |
16 | Mallorca | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 27 | 39 | -12 | 32 |
17 | Celta Vigo | 33 | 7 | 10 | 16 | 37 | 50 | -13 | 31 |
18 | CadizCadiz | 33 | 4 | 14 | 15 | 23 | 46 | -23 | 26 |
19 | Granada | 33 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 36 | 61 | -25 | 21 |
R | Almeria | 33 | 1 | 11 | 21 | 32 | 67 | -35 | 14 |
> La Liga Full Table |