Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Santa Clara
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 15
Jan 5, 2023 at 8.15pm UK
Estádio de São Miguel
Braga

Santa Clara
0 - 4
Braga

FT(HT: 0-2)
Horta (15', 80'), Medeiros (16'), Horta (53')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Primeira Liga clash between Santa Clara and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Santa Clara

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-0 Santa Clara
Thursday, December 29 at 5pm in Primeira Liga

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 3-0 Benfica
Friday, December 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 29.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.95%) and 0-2 (8.05%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (8.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.52%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Santa ClaraDrawBraga
29.35% (0.012 0.01)26.35% (0.0040000000000013 0)44.3% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 51.01% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.64% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)53.36% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.1% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)74.9% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)
Santa Clara Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.09% (0.0049999999999955 0)32.91% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)69.49% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (-0.0099999999999909 -0.01)23.96% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)58.2% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Santa Clara 29.35%
    Braga 44.3%
    Draw 26.35%
Santa ClaraDrawBraga
1-0 @ 8.77% (0.0040000000000013 0)
2-1 @ 6.96% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.84%
3-0 @ 1.8% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 29.35%
1-1 @ 12.52%
0-0 @ 7.89% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-2 @ 4.97%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 11.26%
1-2 @ 8.95% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-2 @ 8.05% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 4.26% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 3.83% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
0-4 @ 1.37% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 44.3%

How you voted: Santa Clara vs Braga

Santa Clara
6.3%
Draw
10.0%
Braga
83.8%
80
Head to Head
Feb 28, 2022 8.15pm
Braga
0-0
Santa Clara

Castro (29'), Silva (37'), Tormena (75')

Morita (34'), Mansur (41'), Carvalho (53')
Mansur (78'), Morita (89')
Sep 26, 2021 6pm
Santa Clara
1-1
Braga
Lincoln (90+5')
Mansur (42'), Villanueva (45+5'), Carvalho (62')
Oliveira (71')
Leite (37')
Feb 14, 2021 5.30pm
Santa Clara
0-1
Braga

Carlos (75'), Ramos (83'), Patric (90+1')
Borja (11')
Silva (62'), Sequeira (90+2')
Jan 29, 2021 7.45pm
Quarter-Finals
Braga
2-1
Santa Clara
Horta (25'), Ruiz (43')
Horta (40')
Crysan (90+6')
Villanueva (90')
Sep 25, 2020 8.30pm
Braga
0-1
Santa Clara

Sequeira (17'), Carmo (33')
Thiago (5')
Thiago (28'), Pereira (30'), Crysan (74'), Afonso (90+5')
rhs 2.0


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