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Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 9
Oct 9, 2022 at 8.30pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Chaves

Braga
0 - 1
Chaves

FT(HT: 0-1)
Hernandez (2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Union SG
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 1-1 Estoril
Saturday, October 1 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 65.46%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 14.11%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.09%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.71%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawChaves
65.46% (0.248 0.25)20.43% (-0.127 -0.13)14.11% (-0.12 -0.12)
Both teams to score 47.78% (0.083000000000006 0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.25% (0.281 0.28)46.75% (-0.282 -0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.99% (0.267 0.27)69.01% (-0.26600000000001 -0.27)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.53% (0.163 0.16)13.47% (-0.163 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.53% (0.323 0.32)40.47% (-0.325 -0.33)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
55.21% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)44.79% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
19.24% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)80.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Braga 65.45%
    Chaves 14.11%
    Draw 20.43%
BragaDrawChaves
2-0 @ 12.12%
1-0 @ 12.09% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-0 @ 8.1% (0.049000000000001 0.05)
3-1 @ 6.51% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
4-0 @ 4.06% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.26% (0.038 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.61% (0.015 0.02)
5-0 @ 1.63% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.015 0.02)
5-1 @ 1.31% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 65.45%
1-1 @ 9.71% (-0.058999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 6.03% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 3.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.78%
Total : 20.43%
0-1 @ 4.85% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-2 @ 3.9% (-0.025 -0.03)
0-2 @ 1.95% (-0.024 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05%
1-3 @ 1.05% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 1.33%
Total : 14.11%

How you voted: Braga vs Chaves

Braga
93.5%
Draw
0.0%
Chaves
6.5%
31
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2019 3pm
Braga
2-1
Chaves
Sousa (64'), Claudemir (80')
Silva (41'), Fransergio (70')
Martins (51')
Jefferson (33'), Filipe (73')
Aug 31, 2018 7pm
Chaves
0-1
Braga

Bressan (44'), Perdigao (45')
Santos (43')
Esgaio (21'), Palhinha (52'), Sequeira (86'), Sa (89'), Eduardo (95')
Mar 18, 2018 6pm
Chaves
1-4
Braga
Platiny (76')
Duarte (82')
Viana (28'), Horta (39', 91'), Paulinho (73')
Esgaio (75')
Oct 29, 2017 4pm
Braga
1-0
Chaves
Viana (58')
Esgaio (26'), Nascimento (45'), Paulinho (69')

Maras (90')
Mar 11, 2017 6.15pm
Chaves
0-0
Braga

Nelson (45'), Bressan (91')

Santos (76'), Paulinho (81')
rhs 2.0


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