Braga
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 8pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 2
Union SG

Ruiz (49')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Nilsson (86', 90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Union SG, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Porto 4-1 Braga
Friday, September 30 at 9.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Leuven 0-3 Union SG
Saturday, October 1 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 46.93%. A win for Union SG had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.23%). The likeliest Union SG win was 1-2 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawUnion SG
46.93% (0.027999999999999 0.03)23.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)29.27% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 59.34% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.56% (0.019000000000005 0.02)42.44% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.15% (0.018000000000001 0.02)64.85% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.72% (0.02000000000001 0.02)18.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.65% (0.030000000000001 0.03)49.35% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.38% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.15% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)62.85% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Braga 46.93%
    Union SG 29.27%
    Draw 23.79%
BragaDrawUnion SG
2-1 @ 9.36% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 8.51% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-1 @ 5.3% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.09% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-2 @ 3.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-0 @ 1.74% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.46% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 46.93%
1-1 @ 11.01% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.06%
0-0 @ 5.01% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.48% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.79%
1-2 @ 7.14% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 6.49% (-0.0059999999999993 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.2% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 3.08% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.62%
0-3 @ 1.81% (-0.002 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 29.27%

How you voted: Braga vs Union SG

Braga
81.3%
Draw
14.1%
Union SG
4.7%
128
rhs 2.0


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