Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 9
Sep 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Stadion am Kehrweg

Eupen
1 - 2
Union SG

Boris (18')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Adingra (8'), Okoh Boniface (90+2')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Eupen and Union SG.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Oostende 1-0 Eupen
Saturday, September 10 at 5.15pm in Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Union SG 3-2 Malmo
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 51.98%. A win for Eupen had a probability of 24.19% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Eupen win was 1-0 (6.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
EupenDrawUnion SG
24.19% (0.331 0.33)23.83% (0.192 0.19)51.98% (-0.52200000000001 -0.52)
Both teams to score 54.68% (-0.249 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.47% (-0.507 -0.51)46.53% (0.506 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.19% (-0.477 -0.48)68.8% (0.477 0.48)
Eupen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.6% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)33.4% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.97% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)70.02% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.11% (-0.383 -0.38)17.89% (0.382 0.38)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.32% (-0.665 -0.66)48.68% (0.664 0.66)
Score Analysis
    Eupen 24.19%
    Union SG 51.98%
    Draw 23.82%
EupenDrawUnion SG
1-0 @ 6.55% (0.141 0.14)
2-1 @ 6.18% (0.058 0.06)
2-0 @ 3.59% (0.078 0.08)
3-1 @ 2.26% (0.022 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.95% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 1.31% (0.028 0.03)
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 24.19%
1-1 @ 11.27% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.126 0.13)
2-2 @ 5.32% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.12% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 23.82%
0-1 @ 10.28% (0.09 0.09)
1-2 @ 9.7% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 8.85% (-0.032 -0.03)
1-3 @ 5.57% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-3 @ 5.08% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-3 @ 3.05% (-0.048 -0.05)
1-4 @ 2.4% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-4 @ 2.18% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-4 @ 1.31% (-0.038 -0.04)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 51.98%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3.15pm
Union SG
0-0
Eupen

Peeters (44'), Magnee (64'), Amat (65'), Beck (90+2')
Oct 23, 2021 7.45pm
Eupen
2-3
Union SG
Kayembe (75'), Agbadou (78')
Amat (90+7')
Undav (7' pen.), Teuma (29'), Nielsen (79')
Burgess (21'), Nieuwkoop (23'), Undav (68')