Primeira Liga | Gameweek 8

Oct 1, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
1 - 1
Estoril

Hernandez (39')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Martins (76')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-0 Chaves
Friday, September 16 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-1 Porto
Saturday, September 17 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 45.51%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 26.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.11%) and 2-1 (8.56%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.93%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (9.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Estoril Praia
45.51% ( 0.5)	27.97% ( -0.1)	26.52% ( -0.4)

Both teams to score 44.69% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.39% (

0.13)

60.6% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.3% (

0.1)

80.69% (

-0.1)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

0.31)

26.62% (

-0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

0.41)

61.86% (

-0.41)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.9% (

-0.27)

39.1% (

0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.18% (

-0.25)

75.81% (

0.25)

Score Analysis

Chaves 45.5%

Estoril Praia 26.52%

Draw 27.95%

Chaves	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 13.77% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 9.11% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 8.56% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 4.02% ( 0.09) 3-1 @ 3.78% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.91% Total : 45.5%	1-1 @ 12.93% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 10.4% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.6% Total : 27.95%	0-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 6.08% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.44% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.49% Total : 26.52%