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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Chaves
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Portimonense
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Vizela
Braga
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 14
Dec 30, 2022 at 9.15pm UK
Estádio Municipal de Braga
Benfica

Braga
3 - 0
Benfica

Ruiz (2'), Horta (32', 70')
Horta (78'), Jorge (79')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Luis (27'), Silva (85'), Otamendi (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 5-0 Braga
Monday, December 19 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga
Last Game: Moreirense 1-1 Benfica
Saturday, December 17 at 7pm in Taca da Liga

We said: Braga 1-3 Benfica

Off the back of their shock cup exit, Benfica will be looking to make an immediate positive reaction by closing out the year with a win. While we expect Braga to put up a fight, As Aguias boasts the firepower needed to get the job done and we are backing them to claim all three points in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 63.04%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Braga had a probability of 15.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.77%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Braga win it was 1-0 (5.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood.

Result
BragaDrawBenfica
15.54% (0.906 0.91) 21.42% (0.812 0.81) 63.04% (-1.717 -1.72)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.389 -0.39)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.9% (-1.666 -1.67)48.1% (1.669 1.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.74% (-1.548 -1.55)70.26% (1.549 1.55)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.42% (0.242 0.24)43.58% (-0.241 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.22% (0.198 0.2)79.78% (-0.19799999999999 -0.2)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.36% (-1.06 -1.06)14.64% (1.06 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.23% (-2.076 -2.08)42.77% (2.077 2.08)
Score Analysis
    Braga 15.54%
    Benfica 63.02%
    Draw 21.42%
BragaDrawBenfica
1-0 @ 5.3% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 4.23% (0.185 0.19)
2-0 @ 2.2% (0.175 0.18)
3-1 @ 1.17% (0.058 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.13% (0.015 0.01)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 15.54%
1-1 @ 10.18% (0.378 0.38)
0-0 @ 6.38% (0.43 0.43)
2-2 @ 4.06% (0.025 0.03)
Other @ 0.8%
Total : 21.42%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.37 0.37)
0-2 @ 11.77% (-0.09 -0.09)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-3 @ 7.54% (-0.351 -0.35)
1-3 @ 6.27% (-0.248 -0.25)
0-4 @ 3.62% (-0.317 -0.32)
1-4 @ 3.01% (-0.241 -0.24)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.085 -0.09)
0-5 @ 1.39% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-4 @ 1.25% (-0.091 -0.09)
1-5 @ 1.16% (-0.141 -0.14)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 63.02%

How you voted: Braga vs Benfica

Braga
12.9%
Draw
14.5%
Benfica
72.6%
62
Head to Head
Apr 1, 2022 8.15pm
Braga
3-2
Benfica
Medeiros (28'), Horta (59'), Oliveira (79')
Ruiz (8'), Elmusrati (30')
Nunez (74' pen.), Mario (77')
Vertonghen (26')
Nov 7, 2021 9.15pm
Benfica
6-1
Braga
Grimaldo (2'), Nunez (37'), Silva (42', 45+3'), Everton (52', 59')
Gilberto (48'), Pizzi (81'), Ramos (83')
Horta (12')
Elmusrati (26'), Mineiro (90')
May 23, 2021 8.30pm
Final
Braga
2-0
Benfica
Piazon (45+3'), Horta (85')
Esgaio (35'), Elmusrati (67'), Novais (82')
Piazon (90+4')

Silva (85'), Tavares (88'), Otamendi (89'), Grimaldo (90+4')
Leite (17'), Taarabt (90+3')
Mar 21, 2021 8pm
Braga
0-2
Benfica

Fransergio (27')
Fransergio (39')
Silva (45+2'), Seferovic (56')
Otamendi (16'), Goncalves (45+1'), Pizzi (65'), Weigl (70')
Jan 20, 2021 7.45pm
Semi-Finals
Braga
2-1
Benfica
Ruiz (28'), Tormena (59')
Castro (20'), Sequeira (34'), Esgaio (66'), Fransergio (90+4')
Pizzi (45' pen.)
Todibo (38'), Weigl (52'), Jardel (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon31263289296081
2Benfica31244371254676
3Porto31196657263163
4Braga31195764442062
5Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes31186746321460
6MoreirenseMoreirense31137113234-246
7AroucaArouca311361253421145
8FamalicaoFamalicao31812113339-636
9Casa Pia3198143344-1135
10Estoril PraiaEstoril3196164652-633
11Rio AveRio Ave3151793339-632
12Gil Vicente3188153950-1132
13SC FarenseFarense3087153944-531
14BoavistaBoavista3179153557-2230
15Estrela Amadora30611133246-1429
16PortimonensePortimonense3177173466-3228
17ChavesChaves3158183165-3423
18Vizela31410173063-3322


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