Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 29, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio do Sport Lisboa e Benfica

Benfica
5 - 0
Chaves

Neres (2'), Grimaldo (10'), Ramos (37'), Musa (81'), Silva (90+3')

FT(HT: 3-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Benfica and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Benfica 4-3 Juventus
Tuesday, October 25 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 3-1 Gil Vicente
Sunday, October 23 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 9.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Benfica	Draw	Chaves
74.11% ( -0.18)	16% ( 0.1)	9.89% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 49.38% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.53% (

-0.23)

37.46% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.31% (

-0.25)

59.69% (

0.25)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.35% (

-0.1)

8.65% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.18% (

-0.24)

29.82% (

0.24)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.05% (

-0.01)

45.94% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.32% (

-0.01)

81.68% (

Score Analysis

Benfica 74.1%

Chaves 9.89%

Draw 16%

Benfica	Draw	Chaves
2-0 @ 11.9% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 9.73% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 9.71% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 5.94% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 2.26% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.8% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.02) 6-1 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.37% Total : 74.1%	1-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 3.6% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 16%	0-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 2.94% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 1.72% Total : 9.89%