Primeira Liga
Gameweek
11
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-
David Neres
2'
-
Alex Grimaldo
10'
-
Goncalo Ramos
37'
-
Petar Musa
81'
-
Rafa Silva
90'+3'
Benfica vs Chaves - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 74.11%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 9.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.73%) and 3-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.57%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (3.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
74.11%
▼
(-0.18)
Draw
16%
▲
(+0.10)
Chaves
9.89%
▲
(+0.08)
Both Teams to Score:
49.38%
▼
(-0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5
62.53%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 2.5
37.46%
▲
(+0.24)
Over 3.5
40.31%
▼
(-0.26)
Under 3.5
59.69%
▲
(+0.26)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
91.35%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 0.5
8.65%
▲
(+0.10)
Over 1.5
70.18%
▼
(-0.24)
Under 1.5
29.82%
▲
(+0.24)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5
54.05%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
45.94%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
18.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
81.68%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Benfica
74.1%
Draw
16%
Chaves
9.89%
Benfica
2-0
@
11.9%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 74.1%
1-0 @ 9.73% ▲ (+0.07)
3-0 @ 9.71% ▼ (-0.03)
2-1 @ 9.26% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 7.55% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.05)
4-1 @ 4.62% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.04)
5-1 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.8% ▼ (-0.02)
6-0 @ 1.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 4.29%
Total : 74.1%
Draw
1-1
@
7.57%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16%
0-0 @ 3.97% ▲ (+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.6% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 16%
Chaves
0-1
@
3.09%
▲
(+0.04)
1-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 9.89%
1-2 @ 2.94% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 1.2% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 9.89%
German Conti
87'