Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
  • Joao Mendes 46' goal
  • Jonny Arriba 59' goal
  • Joao Mendes 67' goal
  • goal Fran Navarro 25'

Chaves vs Gil Vicente - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions
Last game
Oct 9, 2022 8.30pm
Braga 0 - 1 Chaves
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Hector Hernandez

Gil Vicente

All competitions
Last game
Oct 7, 2022 8.15pm
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Estoril
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Fran Navarro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result

Chaves 39.55% (-0.31)
Draw 26.62% (+0.10)
Gil Vicente 33.83% (+0.23)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.87% (-0.25)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.96% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 53.04% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 25.37% (-0.28)
Under 3.5 74.63% (+0.29)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5 73.73% (-0.32)
Under 0.5 26.27% (+0.33)
Over 1.5 38.61% (-0.43)
Under 1.5 61.38% (+0.44)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5 70.35% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 29.65% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.3% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 65.7% (+0.04)

Score analysis

Chaves 39.55%
Draw 26.61%
Gil Vicente 33.83%
Chaves
1-0 @ 10.41% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.46% (-0.05)
2-0 @ 6.96% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 3.77% (-0.06)
3-0 @ 3.1% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.29% (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.04)
4-0 @ 1.04% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 39.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.65% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 7.79% (+0.11)
2-2 @ 5.14% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.03%
Total : 26.61%
Gil Vicente
0-1 @ 9.47% (+0.12)
1-2 @ 7.69% (+0.03)
0-2 @ 5.76% (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 2.33% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.08% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.38%
Total : 33.83%