Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 23, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira
Chaves3 - 1Gil Vicente
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Braga 0-1 Chaves
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Estoril
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
We said: Chaves 1-1 Gil Vicente
This should be a tight affair. The cup defeat could have caused some damage to the confidence of the hosts, but they should still be able to hold on for a point against their struggling visitors. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chaves | Draw | Gil Vicente |
39.55% ( -0.31) | 26.62% ( 0.09) | 33.83% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 51.87% ( -0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
