Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10

Oct 23, 2022 at 6pm UK

Estádio Municipal Eng. Manuel Branco Teixeira

Chaves
3 - 1
Gil Vicente

Mendes (46', 67'), Arriba (59')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Navarro (25')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Chaves and Gil Vicente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 0-1 Chaves
Sunday, October 9 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Estoril
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chaves win with a probability of 39.55%. A win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.46%) and 2-0 (6.96%). The likeliest Gil Vicente win was 0-1 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chaves would win this match.

Result
Chaves	Draw	Gil Vicente
39.55% ( -0.31)	26.62% ( 0.09)	33.83% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 51.87% (

-0.24)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.96% (

-0.33)

53.04% (

0.33)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.37% (

-0.28)

74.63% (

0.28)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.73% (

-0.32)

26.27% (

0.32)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.61% (

-0.43)

61.38% (

0.44)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.35% (

-0.02)

29.65% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.3% (

-0.03)

65.7% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Chaves 39.55%

Gil Vicente 33.83%

Draw 26.61%

Chaves	Draw	Gil Vicente
1-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 8.46% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 6.96% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.77% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.1% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.29% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.26% Total : 39.55%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 5.14% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.61%	0-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 7.69% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 5.76% ( 0.07) 1-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 0.95% ( 0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 33.83%