Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 50.81%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 23.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.21%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 0-1 (8.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 50.81% ( | 25.9% ( | 23.29% |
| Both teams to score 47.47% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 44.43% ( | 55.57% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 23.26% ( | 76.74% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.07% | 21.93% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.8% ( | 55.2% ( |
| Estoril Praia Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.8% ( | 39.2% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.08% ( | 75.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gil Vicente | Draw | Estoril Praia |
| 1-0 @ 13.04% 2-0 @ 9.9% ( 2-1 @ 9.27% 3-0 @ 5.01% 3-1 @ 4.69% 3-2 @ 2.2% 4-0 @ 1.9% 4-1 @ 1.78% Other @ 3.03% Total : 50.8% | 1-1 @ 12.21% 0-0 @ 8.6% ( 2-2 @ 4.34% ( Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.89% | 0-1 @ 8.05% ( 1-2 @ 5.72% 0-2 @ 3.77% 1-3 @ 1.79% 2-3 @ 1.35% ( 0-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 1.44% Total : 23.29% |