Taca da Liga | Group Stage

Dec 3, 2022 at 5pm UK

Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia
0 - 1
Braga

FT(HT: 0-1)

Oliveira (22')

Coverage of the Taca da Liga Group Stage clash between Casa Pia and Braga.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Pacos de Ferreira 1-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, November 20 at 8.15pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Braga

All competitions

Taca da Liga

Last Game: Braga 3-0 Trofense
Saturday, November 26 at 6.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
23.17% ( 1.25)	26.63% ( 0.72)	50.2% ( -1.97)

Both teams to score 45.35% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.73% (

-1.44)

58.26% (

1.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.1% (

-1.14)

78.9% (

1.13)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.15% (

0.42)

40.85% (

-0.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.58% (

0.38)

77.42% (

-0.38)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.66% (

-1.47)

23.33% (

1.47)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.71% (

-2.19)

57.29% (

2.18)

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 23.17%

Braga 50.19%

Draw 26.62%

Casa Pia	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.55) 2-1 @ 5.56% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 3.82% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 1.66% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.14% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.25% Total : 23.17%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.27) 0-0 @ 9.53% ( 0.51) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.64% Total : 26.62%	0-1 @ 13.87% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 10.09% ( -0.33) 1-2 @ 9.04% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.9% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 4.38% ( -0.29) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.11) 0-4 @ 1.78% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.18) Other @ 2.58% Total : 50.19%