Taca da Liga
Dec 3, 2022 5.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • goal Vitor Oliveira 22'

Casa Pia vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Nov 20, 2022 8.15pm
Pacos de Ferreira 1 - 1 Casa Pia

Braga

All competitions
Taca da Liga
Last game
Nov 26, 2022 6.45pm
Braga 3 - 0 Trofense

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.17%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.

Result

Casa Pia 23.17% (+1.25)
Draw 26.63% (+0.72)
Braga 50.2% (-1.98)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.35% (-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5 41.73% (-1.44)
Under 2.5 58.26% (+1.43)
Over 3.5 21.1% (-1.15)
Under 3.5 78.9% (+1.14)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 59.15% (+0.43)
Under 0.5 40.85% (-0.43)
Over 1.5 22.58% (+0.38)
Under 1.5 77.42% (-0.38)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 76.66% (-1.48)
Under 0.5 23.33% (+1.47)
Over 1.5 42.71% (-2.19)
Under 1.5 57.29% (+2.19)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 23.17%
Draw 26.62%
Braga 50.19%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 8.53% (+0.55)
2-1 @ 5.56% (+0.19)
2-0 @ 3.82% (+0.29)
3-1 @ 1.66% (+0.08)
3-2 @ 1.21% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.14% (+0.10)
Other @ 1.25%
Total : 23.17%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.41% (+0.27)
0-0 @ 9.53% (+0.51)
2-2 @ 4.05% (-0.04)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 26.62%
Braga
0-1 @ 13.87% (+0.15)
0-2 @ 10.09% (-0.34)
1-2 @ 9.04% (-0.20)
0-3 @ 4.9% (-0.39)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.30)
2-3 @ 1.96% (-0.11)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.23)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.19)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 50.19%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • goal Rafael Martins 23'