Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 50.2%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 23.17%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.09%) and 1-2 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (8.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Braga in this match.