Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Nov 3, 2022 at 8pm UK

Estadio Municipal

Braga
2 - 1
Malmo

Horta (36'), Djalo (55')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Sejdiu (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Braga and Malmo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Braga
Sunday, October 30 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Malmo

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Varbergs 2-5 Malmo
Sunday, October 30 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.55%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Malmo had a probability of 18.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.72%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.39%), while for a Malmo win it was 0-1 (6.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Malmo
57.55% ( 0.07)	24.38% ( -0.05)	18.06% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 44.56% (

0.12)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.38% (

0.18)

55.62% (

-0.18)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.22% (

0.15)

76.78% (

-0.15)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.79% (

0.09)

19.21% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.1% (

0.15)

50.9% (

-0.16)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.16% (

0.09)

44.84% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.19% (

0.07)

80.8% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Braga 57.54%

Malmo 18.07%

Draw 24.38%

Braga	Draw	Malmo
1-0 @ 14.2% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 11.72% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.73% Total : 57.54%	1-1 @ 11.39% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.61% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.6% Total : 24.38%	0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 4.57% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.22% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.58% Total : 18.07%