Potential new EL header

Europa League

Malmo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 6, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Swedbank Stadion, Malm
Union Berlin logo

Malmo
0 - 1
Union Berlin

FT(HT: 0-0)
Becker (68')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Malmo and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Malmo 0-0 Hammarby
Saturday, October 1 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Union Berlin

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Frankfurt 2-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, October 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result
MalmoDrawUnion Berlin
33.02% (-0.189 -0.19)25.45% (-0.061 -0.06)41.53% (0.249 0.25)
Both teams to score 55.48% (0.15 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.69% (0.217 0.22)48.3% (-0.221 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.55% (0.2 0.2)70.45% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.16% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)27.84% (0.009999999999998 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.56% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)63.44% (0.012 0.01)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.89% (0.218 0.22)23.11% (-0.22 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.03% (0.32 0.32)56.96% (-0.322 -0.32)
Score Analysis
    Malmo 33.02%
    Union Berlin 41.53%
    Draw 25.45%
MalmoDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.025 -0.03)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.023 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.02%
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.64% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
1-2 @ 8.83% (0.032 0.03)
0-2 @ 6.9% (0.026999999999999 0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
0-3 @ 3.37% (0.035 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.027 0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (0.026 0.03)
0-4 @ 1.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-4 @ 1.01% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.53%

How you voted: Malmo vs Union Berlin

Malmo
18.1%
Draw
12.3%
Union Berlin
69.6%
171