Europa League
Oct 6, 2022 5.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Sheraldo Becker 68'

Malmo vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Malmo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 8.00pm
Union SG 3 - 2 Malmo

Union Berlin

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Sep 15, 2022 8.00pm
Braga 1 - 0 Union Berlin

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 41.53%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (8.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Union Berlin in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Union Berlin.

Result

Malmo 33.02% (-0.19)
Draw 25.45% (-0.07)
Union Berlin 41.53% (+0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.48% (+0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.69% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 48.3% (-0.23)
Over 3.5 29.55% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 70.45% (-0.21)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5 72.16% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.84% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 36.56% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 63.44% (+0.02)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 76.89% (+0.22)
Under 0.5 23.11% (-0.22)
Over 1.5 43.03% (+0.33)
Under 1.5 56.96% (-0.33)

Score analysis

Malmo 33.02%
Draw 25.45%
Union Berlin 41.53%
Malmo
1-0 @ 8.23% (-0.08)
2-1 @ 7.71% (-0.03)
2-0 @ 5.26% (-0.06)
3-1 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.41% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 33.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.05% (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.43% (-0.06)
2-2 @ 5.64% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.45%
Union Berlin
0-1 @ 9.43% (-0.03)
1-2 @ 8.83% (+0.04)
0-2 @ 6.9% (+0.03)
1-3 @ 4.31% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 3.37% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.76% (+0.03)
1-4 @ 1.58% (+0.03)
0-4 @ 1.23% (+0.03)
2-4 @ 1.01% (-98.30)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 41.53%