Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Siebatcheu (54'), Becker (77')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Union Berlin and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

Last Six:

Last Game: Braga 1-0 Union Berlin
Thursday, September 15 at 8pm in Europa League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Borussia Dortmund	7	2	15
2	Union Berlin	6	9	14
3	Freiburg	6	5	13

Wolfsburg

Last Six:

Last Game: Frankfurt 0-1 Wolfsburg
Saturday, September 10 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Stuttgart	7	-3	5
17	Wolfsburg	6	-5	5
18	VfL Bochum	6	-14	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 51.47%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.59%) and 2-1 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 0-1 (7.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union Berlin would win this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
51.47% ( 0.36)	25.04% ( 0.09)	23.48% ( -0.45)

Both teams to score 50.12% (

-0.75)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.82% (

-0.75)

52.18% (

0.75)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.11% (

-0.65)

73.89% (

0.65)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.73% (

-0.15)

20.27% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.38% (

-0.24)

52.62% (

0.24)

Wolfsburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.86% (

-0.83)

37.13% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.08% (

-0.82)

73.92% (

0.83)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 51.47%

Wolfsburg 23.48%

Draw 25.04%

Union Berlin	Draw	Wolfsburg
1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.3) 2-0 @ 9.59% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 9.5% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.1% ( 0.08) 3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.67% Total : 51.47%	1-1 @ 11.9% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.12) Other @ 0.91% Total : 25.04%	0-1 @ 7.46% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 3.69% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.08) 0-3 @ 1.22% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.72% Total : 23.48%