Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 54.02%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Helsingborg had a probability of 21.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.11%) and 1-2 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.59%), while for a Helsingborg win it was 1-0 (6.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.