Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.