Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 22

Sep 11, 2022 at 4.30pm UK

Swedbank Stadion, Malm

Malmo
2 - 1
Norrkoping

Zeidan (70'), Kiese Thelin (73')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Ortmark (3')

Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Malmo and IFK Norrkoping.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 58.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.75%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a IFK Norrkoping win it was 0-1 (6.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	IFK Norrkoping
58.24% ( -0.56)	22.95% ( 0.33)	18.81% ( 0.22)

Both teams to score 49.92% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.87% (

-1.06)

49.12% (

1.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.8% (

-0.96)

71.19% (

0.95)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42% (

-0.56)

16.57% (

0.56)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.64% (

-1.01)

46.36% (

1.01)

IFK Norrkoping Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.84% (

-0.37)

40.16% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.2% (

-0.34)

76.8% (

0.33)

Score Analysis

Malmo 58.24%

IFK Norrkoping 18.81%

Draw 22.94%

Malmo	Draw	IFK Norrkoping
1-0 @ 11.96% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 10.75% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 6.44% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 2.9% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.05) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( -0.06) Other @ 1.99% Total : 58.24%	1-1 @ 10.91% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.28) 2-2 @ 4.47% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.9% Total : 22.94%	0-1 @ 6.07% ( 0.2) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 2.77% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.12% Total : 18.81%