Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 49.31%. A win for IFK Norrkoping had a probability of 26.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest IFK Norrkoping win was 1-2 (6.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.