Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 20
Aug 28, 2022 at 2pm UK
Paskbergsvallen

Varbergs
1 - 1
Norrkoping

Simovic (90+7')
Tranberg (34'), Birkfeldt (82'), Karlsson (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Levi (11')
Ortmark (86')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and IFK Norrkoping.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varbergs BoIS

Last Six:
Last Game: Varbergs 2-2 Djurgarden
Saturday, August 20 at 2pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

IFK Norrkoping

Last Six:
Last Game: Norrkoping 2-4 AIK
Sunday, August 21 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 42.26%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 29.63% and a draw had a probability of 28.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.36%) and 0-2 (8.2%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 1-0 (10.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawIFK Norrkoping
29.63% (0.118 0.12)28.11% (0.079000000000001 0.08)42.26% (-0.199 -0.2)
Both teams to score 46.05% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.24% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)59.75% (0.234 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.95% (-0.179 -0.18)80.05% (0.178 0.18)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.9% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)36.09% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.12% (-0.035999999999998 -0.04)72.87% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
IFK Norrkoping Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.06% (-0.218 -0.22)27.93% (0.216 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.44% (-0.28 -0.28)63.56% (0.28 0.28)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 29.62%
    IFK Norrkoping 42.25%
    Draw 28.11%
Varbergs BoISDrawIFK Norrkoping
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 6.68% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
2-0 @ 5.24% (0.036 0.04)
3-1 @ 2.27%
3-0 @ 1.78% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.45% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 29.62%
1-1 @ 13.1% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 10.08% (0.086 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.26% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 28.11%
0-1 @ 12.85% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 8.36% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
0-2 @ 8.2% (-0.028 -0.03)
1-3 @ 3.55% (-0.037 -0.04)
0-3 @ 3.49% (-0.034 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.13% (-0.019 -0.02)
0-4 @ 1.11% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 42.25%

Head to Head
Apr 3, 2022 4.30pm
Norrkoping
0-1
Varbergs
Johansson (62')
Stanisic (7'), Birkfeldt (47'), Matthews (73'), Alfonsi (90+4')
Sep 26, 2021 4.30pm
Norrkoping
2-1
Varbergs
Adegbenro (1'), Wahlqvist (61')
Agardius (22'), Levi (74'), Fransson (85')
Karlsson (24')
Winbo (30'), Liljeback (86'), Johansson (90+4')
May 17, 2021 5.30pm
Varbergs
2-1
Norrkoping
Simovic (24'), Matthews (32')
Winbo (39')
Sema (74')
Fransson (60'), Castegren (64'), Lund (80')
Oct 18, 2020 4.30pm
Varbergs
1-3
Norrkoping
Seljmani (45+1')
Modig (53'), Norlin (68')
Levi (25', 38', 71')
Wahlqvist (69'), Pettersson (90+1')
Jul 22, 2020 6pm
Norrkoping
2-0
Varbergs
Nyman (29'), Lauritsen (52')

Tranberg (40'), Samuel (66'), Modig (79')
rhs 2.0


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