/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F46%2Fmallog.png)
-
Jon Birkfeldt
54'
-
Robin Simovic
73'
-
Ola Toivonen
44'
-
Ola Toivonen
52'
-
Ola Toivonen
55'
-
Soren Rieks
64'
-
Mohamed Buya Turay
88'
Varbergs BoIS vs Malmo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.62%.
The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.
Result
Varbergs BoIS
20.62%
▲
(+0.05)
Draw
22.56%
▲
(+0.07)
Malmo
56.82%
▼
(-0.12)
Both Teams to Score:
54.13%
▼
(-0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.99%
▼
(-0.22)
Under 2.5
45.01%
▲
(+0.22)
Over 3.5
32.64%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 3.5
67.36%
▲
(+0.21)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5
64.15%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
35.85%
▲
(+0.08)
Over 1.5
27.37%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
72.63%
▲
(+0.08)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5
84.38%
▼
(-0.11)
Under 0.5
15.62%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 1.5
55.38%
▼
(-0.21)
Under 1.5
44.62%
▲
(+0.21)
Score analysis
Varbergs BoIS
20.62%
Draw
22.55%
Malmo
56.81%
Varbergs BoIS
1-0
@
5.75%
▲
(+0.05)
2-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.62%
2-1 @ 5.47% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.95% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 1.87% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.62%
Draw
1-1
@
10.66%
▲
(+0.05)
0-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.55%
0-0 @ 5.6% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.08% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.55%
Malmo
0-1
@
10.39%
▲
(+0.06)
1-2 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 56.81%
1-2 @ 9.9% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 9.65% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 6.13% ▼ (-0.03)
0-3 @ 5.97% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 3.14% ▼ (-0.03)
1-4 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.03)
0-4 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
1-5 @ 1.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-5 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 56.81%
