Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 29
Oct 30, 2022 at 4.30pm UK
Paskbergsvallen
Malmo

Varbergs
2 - 5
Malmo

Birkfeldt (54'), Simovic (73')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Toivonen (44', 52', 55'), Rieks (64'), Buya Turay (88')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Varbergs BoIS and Malmo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions
Last Game: Mjallby AIF 4-1 Varbergs
Monday, October 24 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Malmo

All competitions
Swedish Allsvenskan
Last Game: Malmo 0-2 Union SG
Thursday, October 27 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 20.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.9%) and 0-2 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.66%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Malmo would win this match.

Result
Varbergs BoISDrawMalmo
20.62% (0.048999999999999 0.05)22.56% (0.065999999999999 0.07)56.82% (-0.111 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.13% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.99% (-0.212 -0.21)45.01% (0.214 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.64% (-0.205 -0.2)67.36% (0.208 0.21)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.15% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)35.85% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.37% (-0.074000000000002 -0.07)72.63% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Malmo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.38% (-0.11 -0.11)15.62% (0.112 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.38% (-0.206 -0.21)44.62% (0.209 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Varbergs BoIS 20.62%
    Malmo 56.81%
    Draw 22.55%
Varbergs BoISDrawMalmo
1-0 @ 5.75% (0.042 0.04)
2-1 @ 5.47% (0.008 0.01)
2-0 @ 2.95% (0.015 0.02)
3-1 @ 1.87% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 1.74% (-0.008 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.01% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 20.62%
1-1 @ 10.66% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.6% (0.052 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.08% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 22.55%
0-1 @ 10.39% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 9.9% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 9.65% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
1-3 @ 6.13% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-3 @ 5.97% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-4 @ 2.84% (-0.023 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.77% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 1.46% (-0.014 -0.01)
1-5 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-5 @ 1.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 56.81%

Head to Head
Jul 9, 2022 2pm
Malmo
3-0
Varbergs
Inge Berget (45+6' pen.), Christiansen (64'), Birmancevic (87')
Birmancevic (70')

Stanisic (60'), Lushaku (78'), Birkfeldt (81')
Oct 24, 2021 4.30pm
Varbergs
1-1
Malmo
Simovic (29')
Matthews (21'), Ejupi (32'), Stanisic (55'), Carlos de Brito (78'), Johansson (84')
Birmancevic (43')
Pena (53'), Nalic (90+3'), Abubakari (90+5')
May 9, 2021 4.30pm
Malmo
3-2
Varbergs
Birmancevic (12'), Nielsen (61'), Rieks (79')
Nalic (49'), Inge Berget (80')
Stanisic (26'), Adjei (81')
Simovic (34'), Le Roux (52'), Mensah (56'), Winbo (86')
Nov 29, 2020 1.30pm
Varbergs
3-2
Malmo
Ayer (25'), Barny (52'), Seljmani (80')
Seljmani (34')
Nielsen (64'), Larsson (90+3')
Nielsen (78')
Jun 21, 2020 1.30pm
Malmo
2-2
Varbergs
Rieks (7'), Kiese Thelin (83')
Christiansen (35'), Nielsen (90+2')
Christiansen (37')
Johansson (9'), Norlin (75')
Fofana (60'), Birkfeldt (84')