Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 53.23%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 23.47% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.85%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-0 (6.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Malmo	Draw	Union SG
23.47% ( -0.01)	23.29% ( 0.05)	53.23% ( -0.05)

Both teams to score 55.61% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.09% (

-0.25)

44.91% (

0.24)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.73% (

-0.24)

67.26% (

0.23)

Malmo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.86% (

-0.14)

33.13% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.26% (

-0.16)

69.73% (

0.15)

Union SG Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.16% (

-0.11)

16.83% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.17% (

-0.19)

46.82% (

0.19)

Score Analysis

Malmo 23.47%

Union SG 53.23%

Draw 23.29%

Malmo	Draw	Union SG
1-0 @ 6.16% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 6.06% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.25% ( -0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 23.47%	1-1 @ 10.97% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.4% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.29%	0-1 @ 9.94% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 9.78% ( -0) 0-2 @ 8.85% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.26% 2-3 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.59% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.1% Total : 53.23%