Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Malmo win with a probability of 64.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 16.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Malmo win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.87%) and 1-0 (9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (4.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood.