Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 66.99%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 14.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.45%), while for a Varnamo win it was 1-2 (4.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hacken would win this match.