Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 18
Aug 14, 2022 at 2pm UK
Friends Arena, Solna, Stockholm

AIK
2 - 2
Varnamo

Abbas Ayari (44'), Lustig (78')
Thill (79')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Antonsson (28', 63')
Kenndal (81')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between AIK Fotboll and Varnamo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Shkendija 1-1 AIK (2-3 pen.)
Thursday, August 11 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
Last Game: Varnamo 0-0 Djurgarden
Sunday, August 7 at 4.30pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Varnamo had a probability of 14.17%.

The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.05%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Varnamo win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
AIK FotbollDrawVarnamo
63.75% (0.346 0.35)22.08% (0.136 0.14)14.17% (-0.48 -0.48)
Both teams to score 43.09% (-1.495 -1.5)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.8% (-1.389 -1.39)53.2% (1.39 1.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.24% (-1.194 -1.19)74.76% (1.194 1.19)
AIK Fotboll Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.88% (-0.36 -0.36)16.11% (0.36 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.47% (-0.659 -0.66)45.53% (0.661 0.66)
Varnamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.36% (-1.555 -1.56)48.64% (1.558 1.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.31% (-1.146 -1.15)83.69% (1.148 1.15)
Score Analysis
    AIK Fotboll 63.73%
    Varnamo 14.17%
    Draw 22.08%
AIK FotbollDrawVarnamo
1-0 @ 14.3% (0.6 0.6)
2-0 @ 13.05% (0.39 0.39)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.129 -0.13)
3-0 @ 7.95% (0.144 0.14)
3-1 @ 5.73% (-0.15 -0.15)
4-0 @ 3.63% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.61% (-0.102 -0.1)
3-2 @ 2.06% (-0.15 -0.15)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-1 @ 0.95% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.081 -0.08)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 63.73%
1-1 @ 10.31% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.84% (0.42 0.42)
2-2 @ 3.39% (-0.202 -0.2)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 22.08%
0-1 @ 5.65% (0.062 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.72% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.069 -0.07)
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 14.17%

Head to Head
Jul 24, 2022 2pm
Varnamo
2-3
AIK
Antonsson (50'), Wenderson (53')
Wenderson (38')
Guidetti (23'), Tihi (55' og.), Stefanelli (69')
Guidetti (89')