Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 39.75%. A win for Varnamo had a probability of 33.12% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (7.2%). The likeliest Varnamo win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AIK Fotboll would win this match.