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UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Third Qualifying Round | 1st Leg
Aug 4, 2022 at 6pm UK
Friends Arena

AIK
1 - 1
Shkendija

Guidetti (17')
Otieno (33'), Shichenje (82'), Stefanelli (82'), Abdirahman Ahmed (90+1')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Hasani (1')
Dita (26'), Bejtulai (48'), Neziri (79'), Stojanovski (82')
Coverage of the Conference League Third Qualifying Round clash between AIK Fotboll and Shkendija.

Form, Standings, Stats

AIK Fotboll

Last Six:
Last Game: AIK 2-0 Vorskla
Wednesday, July 27 at 6pm in Europa Conference League

Shkendija

Last Six:
    Last Game: Shkendija 3-1 Valmiera
    Thursday, July 28 at 7pm in Europa Conference League

    Data Analysis

    Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AIK Fotboll win with a probability of 59.18%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Shkendija had a probability of 17.31%.

    The most likely scoreline for an AIK Fotboll win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.79%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.06%), while for a Shkendija win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

    Result
    AIK FotbollDrawShkendija
    59.18% (0.021999999999998 0.02)23.51% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)17.31% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
    Both teams to score 45.63% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
    Goals
    Over 2.5Under 2.5
    46.54% (0.039000000000001 0.04)53.46% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
    Over 3.5Under 3.5
    25.02% (0.033000000000001 0.03)74.98% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)
    AIK Fotboll Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    82.21% (0.025999999999996 0.03)17.79% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    51.49% (0.036999999999999 0.04)48.51% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
    Shkendija Goals
    Over 0.5Under 0.5
    55.5% (0.015999999999998 0.02)44.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
    Over 1.5Under 1.5
    19.47% (0.012 0.01)80.53% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
    Score Analysis
        AIK Fotboll 59.17%
        Shkendija 17.31%
        Draw 23.5%
    AIK FotbollDrawShkendija
    1-0 @ 13.66% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-0 @ 11.79%
    2-1 @ 9.55% (0.0020000000000007 0)
    3-0 @ 6.79% (0.0039999999999996 0)
    3-1 @ 5.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
    4-0 @ 2.93% (0.0030000000000001 0)
    4-1 @ 2.37% (0.004 0)
    3-2 @ 2.23% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    5-0 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
    4-2 @ 0.96% (0.002 0)
    Other @ 2.37%
    Total : 59.17%
    		1-1 @ 11.06% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    0-0 @ 7.92% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
    2-2 @ 3.87% (0.0019999999999998 0)
    Other @ 0.66%
    Total : 23.5%
    		0-1 @ 6.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
    1-2 @ 4.48% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
    0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
    1-3 @ 1.21% (0.00099999999999989 0)
    2-3 @ 1.04% (0.0010000000000001 0)
    Other @ 1.57%
    Total : 17.31%

    How you voted: AIK vs Shkendija

    AIK Fotboll
    81.3%
    Draw
    6.3%
    Shkendija
    12.5%
    16