Conference League | First Qualifying Round | 2nd Leg
Jul 14, 2022 at 4pm UK
Kotaik Stadium

Ararat
2 - 2
Shkendija

Malakyan (49', 79')
Diaz (14'), Malakyan (27'), Ishkhanyan (31')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Bravo (2' og.), Guri (45+3')
Hasani (44')
Coverage of the Conference League First Qualifying Round clash between Ararat and Shkendija.

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Shkendija 2-0 Ararat
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Shkendija 2-0 Ararat
Thursday, July 7 at 7pm in Europa Conference League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ararat win with a probability of 39.12%. A win for Shkendija had a probability of 37.91% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ararat win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.08%) and 2-0 (5.08%). The likeliest Shkendija win was 1-2 (8.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
AraratDrawShkendija
39.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)22.97% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)37.91% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Both teams to score 65.5% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.34% (0.015999999999991 0.02)35.66% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.28% (0.018999999999998 0.02)57.72% (-0.020999999999994 -0.02)
Ararat Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)18.79% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.79% (0.010999999999996 0.01)50.21% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Shkendija Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.65% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)19.34% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.87% (0.015999999999998 0.02)51.12% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Ararat 39.12%
    Shkendija 37.91%
    Draw 22.97%
AraratDrawShkendija
2-1 @ 8.35% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.08% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-0 @ 5.08% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.65%
3-2 @ 3.82% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.94%
4-2 @ 1.6% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.18%
Other @ 3.6%
Total : 39.12%
1-1 @ 9.98% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 6.85% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 3.64% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
3-3 @ 2.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 22.97%
1-2 @ 8.2%
0-1 @ 5.97% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 4.49% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-3 @ 3.75% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-3 @ 2.69%
1-4 @ 1.84% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.54% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.1%
Other @ 3.41%
Total : 37.91%

How you voted: Ararat vs Shkendija

Ararat
33.3%
Draw
16.7%
Shkendija
50.0%
6
Head to Head
Jul 7, 2022 7pm
Shkendija
2-0
Ararat
Shala (21'), Nafiu (45')
Dita (35'), Nafiu (40'), Cake (44'), Ramadani (59')

Malakyan (48'), Prljevic (56'), Manoyan (63')