UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Second Qualifying Round | 1st Leg

Jul 21, 2022 at 4pm UK

Daugavas Stadiona, Riga

Valmiera
1 - 2
Shkendija

(Shkendija win 5-2 on aggregate)

Gueye (45')
Krollis (80')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Doriev (9'), Guri (63')
Sadriu (77')

Coverage of the Conference League Second Qualifying Round clash between Valmiera and Shkendija.

Form, Standings, Stats

Valmiera

Last Game: Valmiera 0-0 FK Suduva
Thursday, July 15 at 5pm in Europa Conference League

Shkendija

Last Game: Ararat 2-2 Shkendija
Thursday, July 14 at 4pm in Europa Conference League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shkendija win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Valmiera had a probability of 36.03% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shkendija win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Valmiera win was 1-0 (10.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shkendija would win this match.

Result
Valmiera	Draw	Shkendija
36.03%	26.92%	37.05%

Both teams to score 51.16%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.94%

54.06%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.51%

75.49%

Valmiera Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.22%

28.78%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.38%

64.62%

Shkendija Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83%

28.17%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14%

63.85%

Score Analysis

Valmiera 36.02%

Shkendija 37.05%

Draw 26.92%

Valmiera	Draw	Shkendija
1-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 7.97% 2-0 @ 6.29% 3-1 @ 3.31% 3-0 @ 2.61% 3-2 @ 2.1% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.63% Total : 36.02%	1-1 @ 12.79% 0-0 @ 8.11% 2-2 @ 5.05% Other @ 0.98% Total : 26.92%	0-1 @ 10.27% 1-2 @ 8.1% 0-2 @ 6.51% 1-3 @ 3.42% 0-3 @ 2.75% 2-3 @ 2.13% 1-4 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.05%