Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 55.32%. A draw had a probability of 23.2% and a win for KV Oostende had a probability of 21.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.84%) and 0-2 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a KV Oostende win it was 1-0 (6.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-6 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.