Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Standard Liege win with a probability of 44.17%. A win for KV Oostende had a probability of 30.12% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Standard Liege win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.69%). The likeliest KV Oostende win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Standard Liege in this match.