Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Westerlo win with a probability of 45.9%. A win for Standard Liege had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Westerlo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.27%) and 2-0 (7.67%). The likeliest Standard Liege win was 0-1 (7.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Westerlo would win this match.