Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 13.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.