Belgian Pro League | Gameweek 11
Oct 9, 2022 at 8pm UK
Stade Joseph Mariën

Union SG
2 - 1
Cercle Brugge

Vanzeir (3'), Adingra (56')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Gboho (74')
Coverage of the Belgian Pro League clash between Union SG and Cercle Brugge.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union SG

All competitions
Belgian Pro League
Last Game: Braga 1-2 Union SG
Thursday, October 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Cercle Brugge

All competitions
Last Game: Gent 3-4 Cercle Brugge
Sunday, October 2 at 3pm in Belgian Pro League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union SG win with a probability of 66.95%. A draw had a probability of 19.2% and a win for Cercle Brugge had a probability of 13.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union SG win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.42%) and 2-1 (9.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.07%), while for a Cercle Brugge win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Union SG would win this match.

Result
Union SGDrawCercle Brugge
66.95% (0.81700000000001 0.82)19.16% (-0.388 -0.39)13.89% (-0.425 -0.42)
Both teams to score 51.42% (0.186 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.4% (0.827 0.83)41.6% (-0.822 -0.82)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36% (0.829 0.83)64% (-0.824 -0.82)
Union SG Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.5% (0.46600000000001 0.47)11.51% (-0.46 -0.46)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.61% (0.989 0.99)36.39% (-0.985 -0.98)
Cercle Brugge Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.1% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)41.9% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.65% (-0.081 -0.08)78.35% (0.085999999999999 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Union SG 66.95%
    Cercle Brugge 13.89%
    Draw 19.16%
Union SGDrawCercle Brugge
2-0 @ 11.27%
1-0 @ 10.42% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 9.8% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-0 @ 8.12% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.07% (0.107 0.11)
4-0 @ 4.39% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 3.82% (0.126 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.07% (0.039 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.9% (0.101 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.66% (0.051 0.05)
5-1 @ 1.65% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 3.77%
Total : 66.95%
1-1 @ 9.07% (-0.195 -0.2)
0-0 @ 4.82% (-0.181 -0.18)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 1%
Total : 19.16%
0-1 @ 4.19% (-0.169 -0.17)
1-2 @ 3.95% (-0.095 -0.1)
0-2 @ 1.82% (-0.079 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.24% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.55%
Total : 13.89%

Head to Head
Dec 18, 2021 5.30pm
Union SG
3-2
Cercle Brugge
Mitoma (57'), Nieuwkoop (75'), Daland (90+1' og.)
Kandouss (27'), Teuma (45'), Nielsen (45+4'), Van der Heyden (56'), Thierry Lazare (78')
Utkus (8'), Matondo (24')
Daland (29'), Somers (69'), Lopes (78')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
Cercle Brugge
0-3
Union SG

Lopes (22'), Rubio (81')
Vanzeir (60', 79'), Lapoussin (84')
Teuma (24'), Van der Heyden (70')
May 4, 2019 7pm
Europa League B
Cercle Brugge
2-3
Union SG
Taravel (48', 79')
Marega (40')
Stamenkovic (82'), Niakate (90'), Tau (95')
Traore (43'), Stamenkovic (68'), Perdichizzi (78')
Mar 30, 2019 7pm
Europa League B
Union SG
3-1
Cercle Brugge
Selemani (26' pen.), Niakate (45', 82')
Hamzaoui (18'), Teuma (63'), Mehlem (70')
Bruno (48')
Bruno (80'), Bongiovanni (88')