Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hacken win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Malmo had a probability of 25.87% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hacken win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.02%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Malmo win was 1-2 (6.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Hacken in this match.