Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.