Swedish Allsvenskan | Gameweek 28
Oct 24, 2022 at 6pm UK
Strandvallen

Mjallby AIF
4 - 1
Varbergs

Gracia (28'), Stahl (55'), Nwankwo (65'), Mensah (82' og.)
FT(HT: 1-0)
Johansson (75')
Coverage of the Swedish Allsvenskan clash between Mjallby AIF and Varbergs BoIS.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mjallby AIF

All competitions
Last Game: Kalmar 1-2 Mjallby AIF
Thursday, October 20 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Varbergs BoIS

All competitions
Last Game: Varbergs 0-3 Elfsborg
Wednesday, October 19 at 6pm in Swedish Allsvenskan

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mjallby AIF win with a probability of 50.99%. A win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 25.02% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mjallby AIF win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.65%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Varbergs BoIS win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mjallby AIF would win this match.

Result
Mjallby AIFDrawVarbergs BoIS
50.99% (0.308 0.31)24% (-0.014000000000003 -0.01)25.02% (-0.291 -0.29)
Both teams to score 55.03% (-0.247 -0.25)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.51% (-0.189 -0.19)46.48% (0.191 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.24% (-0.177 -0.18)68.76% (0.18000000000001 0.18)
Mjallby AIF Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.048000000000002 0.05)18.25% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (0.079000000000001 0.08)49.3% (-0.077000000000005 -0.08)
Varbergs BoIS Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.32% (-0.34 -0.34)32.68% (0.343 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.77% (-0.383 -0.38)69.23% (0.386 0.39)
Score Analysis
    Mjallby AIF 50.98%
    Varbergs BoIS 25.02%
    Draw 23.99%
Mjallby AIFDrawVarbergs BoIS
1-0 @ 10.14% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.65% (0.016 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
3-1 @ 5.47% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.06% (-0.019 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.33% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.08% (0.029 0.03)
4-2 @ 1.3% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 50.98%
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 5.96% (0.048 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 23.99%
0-1 @ 6.67% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.35% (-0.059 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.73% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-3 @ 1.39% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 25.02%

How you voted: Mjallby AIF vs Varbergs

Mjallby AIF
66.7%
Draw
33.3%
Varbergs BoIS
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 2pm
Varbergs
0-0
Mjallby AIF

Stanisic (58')

Worts (35'), Johansson (78')
Dec 4, 2021 2pm
Varbergs
0-3
Mjallby AIF

Winbo (17'), Alfonsi (42'), Kunst (50'), Le Roux (82')
Sarr (38' pen.), Bergstrom (66', 89')
Sarr (76'), Gustavsson (82'), Johansson (90+2')
Apr 11, 2021 2pm
Mjallby AIF
0-0
Varbergs

Gustafsson (29')

Le Roux (81')
Sep 13, 2020 4.30pm
Mjallby AIF
2-3
Varbergs
Moro (63'), Bergstrom (76')
Sabovic (28')
Book (2'), Norlin (7'), Winbo (79')
Le Roux (35')
Jul 16, 2020 6pm
Varbergs
1-0
Mjallby AIF
Seljmani (90' pen.)
Lindner (54'), Le Roux (58'), Fofana (66')

Gustavsson (36'), Lofgren (62'), Ogbu (90'), Nilsson (90+3')