Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Varbergs BoIS had a probability of 18.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.57%) and 1-2 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Varbergs BoIS win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.