Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for Sirius had a probability of 25.06% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.94%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Sirius win was 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.04%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Elfsborg would win this match.