Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Elfsborg win with a probability of 40.65%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Elfsborg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.71%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (8.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.