Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 41.24%. A win for Kalmar had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.44%). The likeliest Kalmar win was 1-2 (7.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.