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Arouca
Benfica
Boavista
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Farense logo
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Estoril
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 10
Oct 22, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio António Coimbra da Mota
Braga

Estoril
0 - 2
Braga


Serginho (69'), Ndiaye (81'), Carlos (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Elmusrati (10'), Oliveira (31')
Gomes (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Gil Vicente 0-1 Estoril
Friday, October 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga
Last Game: Union SG 3-3 Braga
Thursday, October 13 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Estoril Praia 1-1 Braga

Fresh off the back of ending their four-game winless run, Braga will head into the weekend with renewed belief as they look to put together a fine run of form. However, they face a spirited Estoril Praia side who have picked up three wins and two draws in their last five matches across all competitions. We predict that the hosts will do just enough to frustrate Braga and force a share of the spoils on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.95%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 18.19%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.03%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.86%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
18.19% (0.119 0.12) 22.87% (0.263 0.26) 58.95% (-0.385 -0.38)
Both teams to score 49.08% (-0.59 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.9 -0.9)49.68% (0.895 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.3% (-0.811 -0.81)71.7% (0.807 0.81)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.79% (-0.39100000000001 -0.39)41.2% (0.387 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.26% (-0.348 -0.35)77.74% (0.345 0.34)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.447 -0.45)16.53% (0.444 0.44)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (-0.807 -0.81)46.27% (0.803 0.8)
Score Analysis
    Estoril Praia 18.19%
    Braga 58.93%
    Draw 22.86%
Estoril PraiaDrawBraga
1-0 @ 6.04% (0.155 0.16)
2-1 @ 4.82% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.68% (0.041 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.42% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 1.28% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 18.19%
1-1 @ 10.86% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.245 0.25)
2-2 @ 4.34% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.86%
0-1 @ 12.25% (0.26 0.26)
0-2 @ 11.03% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
1-2 @ 9.78% (-0.039 -0.04)
0-3 @ 6.62% (-0.055 -0.05)
1-3 @ 5.87% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-4 @ 2.98% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-4 @ 2.64% (-0.091 -0.09)
2-3 @ 2.6% (-0.078 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.17% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.042 -0.04)
1-5 @ 0.95% (-0.048 -0.05)
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 58.93%

How you voted: Estoril vs Braga

Estoril Praia
17.6%
Draw
17.6%
Braga
64.7%
17
Head to Head
Apr 18, 2022 8.30pm
Dec 5, 2021 8.30pm
Braga
2-0
Estoril
Horta (34', 39')
Oliveira (13'), Silva (15'), Mineiro (20'), Gorby (81'), Silva (90+6')
Mineiro (65')

Fonte (49'), Soria (57'), Baro (71')
Mar 3, 2018 8.30pm
Estoril
0-6
Braga

Kleber (22'), Allano (47'), Dankler (89')
Eduardo (7'), Paulinho (44', 68'), Horta (45', 93'), Martins (77')
Silva (36')
Oct 1, 2017 5.15pm
Braga
6-0
Estoril
Sousa (17'), Silva (41'), Martins (54'), Xadas (57'), Horta (61', 83')

Eduardo (65')
Feb 6, 2017 9pm
Braga
1-1
Estoril
Rosic (54')
Fonte (38'), Silva (50'), Assis (78')
Kleber (35')
Claro (27'), Eduardo (62'), Kleber (62'), Brandao (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Rams
@
49ers
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sporting Lisbon1311024083233
2Benfica1210113172431
3Porto1310123192231
4Santa ClaraSanta Clara139041612427
5Braga137332213924
6Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes136341612421
7MoreirenseMoreirense136251918120
8FamalicaoFamalicao134631412218
9Rio AveRio Ave134361323-1015
10Casa Pia133551117-614
11Estoril PraiaEstoril133551219-714
12Gil Vicente133461624-813
13Estrela Amadora133371222-1012
14BoavistaBoavista13256816-811
15AVS132561021-1111
16Nacional12237717-109
17SC FarenseFarense13238719-129
18AroucaArouca13229723-168


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