MX23RW : Sunday, April 28 21:14:24| >> :600:793616:793616:
Union Berlin logo
Europa League | Group Stage
Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK
Stadion An der Alten Försterei
Braga

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Braga

Knoche (68' pen.)
Thorsby (33'), Ryerson (72'), Ronnow (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Silva (39'), Castro (47'), Ruiz (45+2'), Horta (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union Berlin and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

We said: Union Berlin 1-0 Braga

We expect a very cagey affair at Stadion An der Alten Forsterei, with both teams knowing the significance of this fixture in terms of progressing to the knockout stages. Whichever team scores first will feel confident of getting the result that they need, and we are backing Union Berlin to do so and hold on for a vital victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union BerlinDrawBraga
46.53% (0.072000000000003 0.07) 25.18% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 28.28% (-0.084 -0.08)
Both teams to score 53.99% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)49.17% (0.090999999999994 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)71.24% (0.080999999999989 0.08)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.85% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)21.15% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)54.01% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Braga Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.47% (-0.111 -0.11)31.53% (0.11 0.11)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.08% (-0.126 -0.13)67.92% (0.125 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Union Berlin 46.53%
    Braga 28.28%
    Draw 25.18%
Union BerlinDrawBraga
1-0 @ 10.36% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.29% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.05% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.17% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.87%
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.08% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 46.53%
1-1 @ 11.95%
0-0 @ 6.67% (0.024 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.36% (-0.014 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.7% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-2 @ 6.9% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.66% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.71% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 28.28%

How you voted: Union Berlin vs Braga

Union Berlin
73.7%
Draw
14.7%
Braga
11.6%
190
Head to Head
Sep 15, 2022 8pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Result
Baez
Fritz
2 3
6 6
Result
Griekspoor
Rune
6 4 6
4 6 3
Result
Humbert
Struff
5 4
7 6
Result
Hurkacz
Altmaier
6 77
4 62
10am
Paul
Cerundolo
Result
Rublev
Davidovich Fokina
712 6
610 4
Result
Seyboth Wild
Alcaraz
3 3
6 6
10am
Shapovalov
Zverev
Result
Sherif
Rybakina
1 4
6 6
Result
Krueger
Bejlek
3 1
6 6
Result
Putintseva
Dolehide
6 6
2 2
Result
Pavlyuchenkova
Kasatkina
65 5
77 7
Result
Vondrousova
Andreeva
5 1
7 6
Result
Garcia
Paolini
3 2
6 6
Result
Collins
Cristian
3 6 6
6 4 1
7.10pm
Montgomery
Sabalenka
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal35255585285780
2Manchester CityMan City34247382325079
3Liverpool35229477364175
4Aston Villa35207873522167
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs33186967521560
6Manchester UnitedMan Utd34166125251154
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle341651374551953
8West Ham UnitedWest Ham351310125665-949
9Chelsea33139116359448
10Bournemouth35139135260-848
11Wolverhampton WanderersWolves35137154855-746
12Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton341111125257-544
13Fulham35127165155-443
14Crystal Palace351010154557-1240
15Everton35128153748-1136
16Brentford3598185260-835
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3579194262-2026
18Luton TownLuton3567224877-2925
19Burnley3559213870-3224
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd3537253497-6316


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!