Europa League

Europa League | Group Stage

Oct 27, 2022 at 5.45pm UK

Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin
1 - 0
Braga

Knoche (68' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Union Berlin and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: VfL Bochum 2-1 Union Berlin
Sunday, October 23 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Europa League

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 46.53%. A win for Braga had a probability of 28.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Braga win was 0-1 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Union Berlin in this match.

Result
Union Berlin	Draw	Braga
46.53% ( 0.07)	25.18% ( 0.01)	28.28% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 53.99% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.82% (

-0.09)

49.17% (

0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.76% (

-0.08)

71.24% (

0.08)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.85% (

-0.01)

21.15% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.99% (

-0.01)

54.01% (

0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.47% (

-0.11)

31.53% (

0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.08% (

-0.13)

67.92% (

0.13)

Score Analysis

Union Berlin 46.53%

Braga 28.28%

Draw 25.18%

Union Berlin	Draw	Braga
1-0 @ 10.36% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 9.29% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 4.81% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.87% 4-0 @ 1.62% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 2.52% Total : 46.53%	1-1 @ 11.95% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 5.36% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.18%	0-1 @ 7.7% ( 0) 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.66% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 28.28%