Casa Pia
2 - 0
Valadares Gaia

Martins (26'), Anderson (31')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Casa Pia and Valadares Gaia.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Last Game: Braga 0-1 Casa Pia
Sunday, November 6 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Valadares Gaia had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Valadares Gaia win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result
Casa Pia	Draw	Valadares Gaia
59.85% ( 0)	23.41%	16.74% ( -0)

Both teams to score 44.86% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.09% (

-0)

53.91% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.64% (

-0)

75.36% (

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.28%

17.72% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.62%

48.38%

Valadares Gaia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.51% (

-0.01)

45.49% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

18.68% (

-0.01)

81.32% (

Score Analysis

Casa Pia 59.84%

Valadares Gaia 16.74%

Draw 23.4%

Casa Pia	Draw	Valadares Gaia
1-0 @ 13.94% 2-0 @ 12.06% 2-1 @ 9.51% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.96% ( 0) 3-1 @ 5.49% 4-0 @ 3.01% 4-1 @ 2.37% 3-2 @ 2.16% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.36% Total : 59.84%	1-1 @ 10.98% 0-0 @ 8.06% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.75% ( -0) Other @ 0.62% Total : 23.4%	0-1 @ 6.35% ( -0) 1-2 @ 4.33% 0-2 @ 2.5% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.14% ( -0) 2-3 @ 0.98% ( -0) Other @ 1.44% Total : 16.74%