Taca de Portugal
Nov 9, 2022 5.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estádio Nacional
  • Rafael Martins 26' goal
  • Anderson 31' goal

Casa Pia vs Valadares Gaia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions

Valadares Gaia

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 59.85%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Valadares Gaia had a probability of 16.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.06%) and 2-1 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.98%), while for a Valadares Gaia win it was 0-1 (6.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Casa Pia would win this match.

Result

Casa Pia 59.85% (+0.01)
Draw 23.41%
Valadares Gaia 16.74% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.86% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.09% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 53.91% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 24.64% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 75.36% (+0.01)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 82.28%
Under 0.5 17.72% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 51.62%
Under 1.5 48.38%

Valadares Gaia Goals

Over 0.5 54.51% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 45.49% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 18.68% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 81.32% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 59.84%
Draw 23.4%
Valadares Gaia 16.74%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 13.94%
2-0 @ 12.06%
2-1 @ 9.51% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 6.96% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49%
4-0 @ 3.01%
4-1 @ 2.37%
3-2 @ 2.16% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.04% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 59.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.98%
0-0 @ 8.06% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.75% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 23.4%
Valadares Gaia
0-1 @ 6.35% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.5% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 16.74%