Primeira Liga Gameweek 12
Nov 6, 2022 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • goal Rafael Martins 23'

Braga vs Casa Pia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2022 8.30pm
Gil Vicente 0 - 1 Braga
Goals scored
75
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 30, 2022 6.00pm
Casa Pia 1 - 0 Rio Ave
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.66%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 14.77%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.7%) and 2-1 (9.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.78%), while for a Casa Pia win it was 0-1 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result

Braga 64.66% (+0.46)
Draw 20.57% (-0.22)
Casa Pia 14.77% (-0.25)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.01% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 2.5 54.02% (+0.44)
Under 2.5 45.99% (-0.44)
Over 3.5 31.71% (+0.42)
Under 3.5 68.29% (-0.41)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 86.54% (+0.28)
Under 0.5 13.47% (-0.28)
Over 1.5 59.53% (+0.55)
Under 1.5 40.47% (-0.55)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 56.64% (-0.07)
Under 0.5 43.37% (+0.08)
Over 1.5 20.4% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 79.6% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Braga 64.65%
Draw 20.57%
Casa Pia 14.77%
Braga
2-0 @ 11.73% (+0.02)
1-0 @ 11.7% (-0.11)
2-1 @ 9.81% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.84% (+0.10)
3-1 @ 6.55% (+0.07)
4-0 @ 3.93% (+0.09)
4-1 @ 3.29% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.74% (+0.03)
5-0 @ 1.58% (+0.06)
4-2 @ 1.37% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 1.32% (+0.04)
Other @ 2.79%
Total : 64.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.78% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 5.84% (-0.11)
2-2 @ 4.1% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 20.57%
Casa Pia
0-1 @ 4.88% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 4.09% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 2.04% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.14% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.14% (-0.02)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 14.77%