Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2022 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Pina Manique
  • Saviour Godwin 66' goal

Casa Pia vs Rio Ave - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Oct 22, 2022 8.30pm
Sporting Lisbon 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Rafael Martins

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last game
Oct 24, 2022 8.15pm
Rio Ave 1 - 0 Portimonense
Goals scored
36
Top scorer
Abdul-Aziz Yakubu

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.63%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result

Casa Pia 35.63% (+0.48)
Draw 28.77% (-0.12)
Rio Ave 35.6% (-0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

45.51% (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 38.95% (+0.42)
Under 2.5 61.05% (-0.42)
Over 3.5 18.97% (+0.31)
Under 3.5 81.03% (-0.31)

Casa Pia Goals

Over 0.5 67.47% (+0.53)
Under 0.5 32.52% (-0.53)
Over 1.5 30.94% (+0.59)
Under 1.5 69.05% (-0.59)

Rio Ave Goals

Over 0.5 67.45% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 32.54% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 30.92% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 69.08% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Casa Pia 35.62%
Draw 28.76%
Rio Ave 35.59%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.5% (+0.10)
2-0 @ 6.68% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 2.81% (+0.08)
3-0 @ 2.5% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 1.58% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.62%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.34% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 10.58% (-0.17)
2-2 @ 4.21% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.76%
Rio Ave
0-1 @ 11.88% (-0.19)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.12)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.05)
2-3 @ 1.57% (+0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.59%