Arouca
Benfica
Braga
Casa Pia
Estoril
Estrela Amadora
Famalicao logo
Gil Vicente logo
Moreirense
Nacional
Porto
Rio Ave
Santa Clara
Sporting Lisbon
Tondela
Vitoria de Guimaraes
Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11
Oct 30, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Rio Ave

Casa Pia
1 - 0
Rio Ave

Godwin (66')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Rio Ave, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last Game: Sporting Lisbon 3-1 Casa Pia
Saturday, October 22 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Rio Ave

All competitions
Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Portimonense
Monday, October 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 35.63%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 35.6% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.5%) and 2-0 (6.68%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 0-1 (11.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Casa Pia in this match.

Result
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
35.63% (0.479 0.48)28.77% (-0.119 -0.12)35.6% (-0.36000000000001 -0.36)
Both teams to score 45.51% (0.33900000000001 0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.95% (0.411 0.41)61.05% (-0.41 -0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.97% (0.306 0.31)81.03% (-0.30399999999999 -0.3)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.47% (0.527 0.53)32.52% (-0.526 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.94% (0.588 0.59)69.05% (-0.586 -0.59)
Rio Ave Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)32.54% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.92% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)69.08% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 35.62%
    Rio Ave 35.59%
    Draw 28.76%
Casa PiaDrawRio Ave
1-0 @ 11.88% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.5% (0.096 0.1)
2-0 @ 6.68% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 2.81% (0.075 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.5% (0.069 0.07)
3-2 @ 1.58% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 35.62%
1-1 @ 13.34% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 10.58% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-2 @ 4.21% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 28.76%
0-1 @ 11.88% (-0.19 -0.19)
1-2 @ 7.49% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.67% (-0.111 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.8% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.57% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 35.59%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Rio Ave

Casa Pia
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Rio Ave
9.1%
11