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Casa Pia
Primeira Liga | Gameweek 13
Nov 13, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estádio Pina Manique
Chaves

Casa Pia
1 - 2
Chaves

Nunes (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Hernandez (82'), Vitoria (90+1' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Casa Pia and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Primeira Liga
Last Game: Casa Pia 2-0 Valadares Gaia
Wednesday, November 9 at 5.45pm in Taca de Portugal

Chaves

All competitions
Last Game: Chaves 0-0 Santa Clara
Monday, November 7 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Casa Pia win with a probability of 50.28%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 23.53%.

The most likely scoreline for a Casa Pia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.18%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.31%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (8.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.

Result
Casa PiaDrawChaves
50.28% (0.012 0.01)26.19% (0.0030000000000001 0)23.53% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.55% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)56.45% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.55% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)77.45% (0.018999999999991 0.02)
Casa Pia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.48% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)22.52% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.9% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)56.1% (0.0059999999999931 0.01)
Chaves Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.52% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)39.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.83% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)76.17% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Casa Pia 50.27%
    Chaves 23.53%
    Draw 26.19%
Casa PiaDrawChaves
1-0 @ 13.25% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.88% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.18% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 2.12% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.83% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 12.31%
0-0 @ 8.89% (0.0080000000000009 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 26.19%
0-1 @ 8.26% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 5.73% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 1.77% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.32% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.19% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.41%
Total : 23.53%

How you voted: Casa Pia vs Chaves

Casa Pia
72.2%
Draw
22.2%
Chaves
5.6%
18