Primeira Liga | Gameweek 12

Nov 6, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
1 - 5
Benfica

Serginho (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Musa (25'), Silva (30', 40'), Mario (67'), Ristic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Portimonense 1-1 Estoril
Sunday, October 30 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Maccabi Haifa 1-6 Benfica
Wednesday, November 2 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 76.32%. A draw had a probability of 15.2% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 8.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (10.56%) and 0-1 (10.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.23%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 1-0 (2.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-5 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Benfica
8.49% ( -0.52)	15.2% ( -0.52)	76.32% ( 1.04)

Both teams to score 46.17% (

-0.39)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.6% (

0.74)

38.4% (

-0.73)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.31% (

0.77)

60.69% (

-0.77)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.39% (

-0.65)

49.61% (

0.66)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.62% (

-0.46)

84.38% (

0.47)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.62% (

0.41)

8.38% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

70.84% (

1.01)

29.16% (

-1.01)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 8.49%

Benfica 76.3%

Draw 15.2%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Benfica
1-0 @ 2.91% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.02% Total : 8.49%	1-1 @ 7.23% ( -0.25) 0-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.15) 2-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.68% Total : 15.2%	0-2 @ 12.77% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 10.56% ( 0.25) 0-1 @ 10.3% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 8.96% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 7.4% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 6.55% ( 0.28) 1-4 @ 4.59% ( 0.11) 0-5 @ 3.25% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.03) 1-5 @ 2.28% ( 0.1) 2-4 @ 1.61% ( 0.01) 0-6 @ 1.34% ( 0.11) 1-6 @ 0.94% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.17% Total : 76.3%