Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 30, 2022 at 3.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Portimão

Portimonense
1 - 1
Estoril

Junior (88' pen.)

FT(HT: 0-1)

Erison (22')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Primeira Liga clash between Portimonense and Estoril Praia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portimonense

All competitions

Last Game: Rio Ave 1-0 Portimonense
Monday, October 24 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 0-2 Braga
Saturday, October 22 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.

Result
Portimonense	Draw	Estoril Praia
33.92% ( 0.23)	26.88% ( -0.05)	39.2% ( -0.17)

Both teams to score 51.04% (

0.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.9% (

0.25)

54.1% (

-0.25)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.48% (

0.21)

75.52% (

-0.21)

Portimonense Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.88% (

0.27)

30.12% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.73% (

0.33)

66.26% (

-0.33)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.04% (

0.02)

26.95% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.7% (

0.03)

62.29% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Portimonense 33.92%

Estoril Praia 39.19%

Draw 26.88%

Portimonense	Draw	Estoril Praia
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.92%	1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.88%	0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.19%