Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Estoril Praia win with a probability of 39.2%. A win for Portimonense had a probability of 33.92% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Estoril Praia win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.37%) and 0-2 (6.98%). The likeliest Portimonense win was 1-0 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
33.92% ( 0.23) | 26.88% ( -0.05) | 39.2% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 51.04% ( 0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.9% ( 0.25) | 54.1% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.48% ( 0.21) | 75.52% ( -0.21) |
Portimonense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.88% ( 0.27) | 30.12% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.73% ( 0.33) | 66.26% ( -0.33) |
Estoril Praia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.04% ( 0.02) | 26.95% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.7% ( 0.03) | 62.29% ( -0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Portimonense | Draw | Estoril Praia |
1-0 @ 9.74% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.04) 2-0 @ 5.85% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.07% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 2.34% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.34% Total : 33.92% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.12% ( -0.08) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.97% Total : 26.88% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 8.37% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.98% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 3.66% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.2% 0-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 39.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |