Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
Result | ||
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
77.74% ( -0.01) | 13.25% ( 0) | 9% ( 0) |
Both teams to score 57.41% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.98% ( -0.01) | 26.02% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
53.76% ( -0.01) | 46.24% ( 0.01) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
94.61% ( -0) | 5.39% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
78.87% ( -0.01) | 21.13% ( 0.01) |
Gil Vicente Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.68% | 39.32% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.98% ( 0) | 76.02% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
2-0 @ 9.04% ( 0) 3-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 8.21% 4-0 @ 6.43% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 0) 4-1 @ 6% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.83% 5-0 @ 3.75% ( -0) 5-1 @ 3.5% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.8% 6-0 @ 1.83% ( -0) 6-1 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 5.58% Total : 77.74% | 1-1 @ 5.78% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.94% 0-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.25% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0) 0-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-2 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.18% Total : 9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sporting Lisbon | 31 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 89 | 29 | 60 | 81 |
2 | Benfica | 31 | 24 | 4 | 3 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 76 |
3 | Porto | 31 | 19 | 6 | 6 | 57 | 26 | 31 | 63 |
4 | Braga | 31 | 19 | 5 | 7 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 31 | 18 | 6 | 7 | 46 | 32 | 14 | 60 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 34 | -2 | 46 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 31 | 13 | 6 | 12 | 53 | 42 | 11 | 45 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 31 | 8 | 12 | 11 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 36 |
9 | Casa Pia | 31 | 9 | 8 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 35 |
10 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 31 | 9 | 6 | 16 | 46 | 52 | -6 | 33 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 31 | 5 | 17 | 9 | 33 | 39 | -6 | 32 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 31 | 8 | 8 | 15 | 39 | 50 | -11 | 32 |
13 | SC FarenseFarense | 30 | 8 | 7 | 15 | 39 | 44 | -5 | 31 |
14 | BoavistaBoavista | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 30 |
15 | Estrela Amadora | 30 | 6 | 11 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 29 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 31 | 7 | 7 | 17 | 34 | 66 | -32 | 28 |
17 | ChavesChaves | 31 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 31 | 65 | -34 | 23 |
18 | Vizela | 31 | 4 | 10 | 17 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 22 |
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