Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 77.74%. A draw had a probability of 13.3% and a win for Gil Vicente had a probability of 9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (8.8%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.78%), while for a Gil Vicente win it was 1-2 (2.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 3-1 win for Benfica in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Benfica.
| Result | ||
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 77.74% ( | 13.25% ( | 9% ( |
| Both teams to score 57.41% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 73.98% ( | 26.02% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 53.76% ( | 46.24% ( |
| Benfica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 94.61% ( | 5.39% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 78.87% ( | 21.13% ( |
| Gil Vicente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.68% | 39.32% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.98% ( | 76.02% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Benfica | Draw | Gil Vicente |
| 2-0 @ 9.04% ( 3-0 @ 8.8% 2-1 @ 8.44% ( 3-1 @ 8.21% 4-0 @ 6.43% ( 1-0 @ 6.19% ( 4-1 @ 6% ( 3-2 @ 3.83% 5-0 @ 3.75% ( 5-1 @ 3.5% ( 4-2 @ 2.8% 6-0 @ 1.83% ( 6-1 @ 1.71% ( 5-2 @ 1.64% Other @ 5.58% Total : 77.74% | 1-1 @ 5.78% ( 2-2 @ 3.94% 0-0 @ 2.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.19% Other @ 0.23% Total : 13.25% | 1-2 @ 2.7% ( 0-1 @ 1.98% ( 2-3 @ 1.23% 0-2 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.18% Total : 9% |