Gil Vicente
1 - 4
Arouca

Carvalho (17')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Mujica (6', 38', 58'), Manuel Velazquez (90+3')

Coverage of the Taca de Portugal Fourth Round clash between Gil Vicente and Arouca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Gil Vicente

All competitions

Last Game: Gil Vicente 1-2 Portimonense
Friday, November 4 at 8.15pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Vizela 0-1 Arouca
Saturday, November 5 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 43.82%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.02%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (8.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Gil Vicente	Draw	Arouca
43.82%	25.66%	30.53%

Both teams to score 53.79%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.96%

50.04%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.99%

72.01%

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.24%

22.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.56%

56.44%

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.64%

30.36%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.45%

66.55%

Score Analysis

Gil Vicente 43.81%

Arouca 30.53%

Draw 25.66%

Gil Vicente	Draw	Arouca
1-0 @ 10.22% 2-1 @ 9.02% 2-0 @ 7.57% 3-1 @ 4.45% 3-0 @ 3.74% 3-2 @ 2.65% 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-0 @ 1.38% 4-2 @ 0.98% Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.81%	1-1 @ 12.19% 0-0 @ 6.91% 2-2 @ 5.38% 3-3 @ 1.06% Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 8.24% 1-2 @ 7.27% 0-2 @ 4.91% 1-3 @ 2.89% 2-3 @ 2.14% 0-3 @ 1.95% Other @ 3.14% Total : 30.53%