Primeira Liga | Gameweek 11

Oct 29, 2022 at 8.30pm UK

Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca
1 - 0
Sporting Lisbon

Basso (47')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Primeira Liga clash between Arouca and Sporting Lisbon, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions

Last Game: Maritimo 1-1 Arouca
Sunday, October 23 at 3.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sporting Lisbon

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Spurs 1-1 Sporting Lisbon
Wednesday, October 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Lisbon win with a probability of 63.72%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 15.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Lisbon win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.85%) and 1-2 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for an Arouca win it was 1-0 (4.79%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
Arouca	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
15.75% ( 0.13)	20.53% ( 0.21)	63.72% ( -0.34)

Both teams to score 51.47% (

-0.38)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

56.09% (

-0.66)

43.91% (

0.66)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.7% (

-0.65)

66.3% (

0.65)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.23% (

-0.23)

40.77% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.65% (

-0.21)

77.35% (

0.21)

Sporting Lisbon Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.9% (

-0.3)

13.1% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.27% (

-0.62)

39.73% (

0.61)

Score Analysis

Arouca 15.75%

Sporting Lisbon 63.71%

Draw 20.53%

Arouca	Draw	Sporting Lisbon
1-0 @ 4.79% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 4.37% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 2.15% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.75%	1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.01% Total : 20.53%	0-2 @ 11.03% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 10.85% ( 0.19) 1-2 @ 9.9% ( -0) 0-3 @ 7.47% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 6.71% ( -0.08) 0-4 @ 3.8% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 3.41% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 3.01% ( -0.05) 0-5 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.53% ( -0.05) 1-5 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.08% Total : 63.71%