Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vizela win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 32.99% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vizela win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Arouca win was 0-1 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
| 38.37% ( | 28.64% ( | 32.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 45.66% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 39.24% ( | 60.75% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 19.19% ( | 80.81% ( |
| Vizela Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.35% ( | 30.65% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 33.1% ( | 66.9% ( |
| Arouca Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.84% ( | 34.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.15% ( | 70.85% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Vizela | Draw | Arouca |
| 1-0 @ 12.37% ( 2-1 @ 7.86% ( 2-0 @ 7.32% ( 3-1 @ 3.1% ( 3-0 @ 2.89% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( 4-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 2.25% Total : 38.36% | 1-1 @ 13.29% ( 0-0 @ 10.46% ( 2-2 @ 4.22% Other @ 0.65% Total : 28.62% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( 1-2 @ 7.14% ( 0-2 @ 6.04% ( 1-3 @ 2.56% ( 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 2-3 @ 1.51% ( Other @ 2.32% Total : 32.98% |