Taca de Portugal
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David Neres
66'
Estoril Praia vs Benfica - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.68%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.43%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 0-4 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Estoril Praia
5.43%
▲
(+0.11)
Draw
10.89%
▲
(+0.12)
Benfica
83.68%
▼
(-0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
46.59%
▲
(+0.23)
Goals
Over 2.5
71.09%
▼
(-0.12)
Under 2.5
28.91%
▲
(+0.12)
Over 3.5
50.14%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 3.5
49.86%
▲
(+0.14)
Estoril Praia Goals
Over 0.5
49.02%
▲
(+0.27)
Under 0.5
50.98%
▼
(-0.27)
Over 1.5
14.67%
▲
(+0.18)
Under 1.5
85.33%
▼
(-0.19)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
95.04%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
4.96%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
80.16%
▼
(-0.18)
Under 1.5
19.84%
▲
(+0.18)
Score analysis
Estoril Praia
5.43%
Draw
10.89%
Benfica
83.67%
Estoril Praia
2-1
@
1.72%
▲
(+0.04)
1-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 5.43%
1-0 @ 1.7% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 2.01%
Total : 5.43%
Draw
1-1
@
5.11%
▲
(+0.06)
2-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 10.89%
2-2 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 2.53% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 10.89%
Benfica
0-3
@
11.42%
▼
(-0.07)
0-2 @ 11.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.07)
1-5 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
0-6 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
1-6 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-7 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 83.67%
0-2 @ 11.4% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 8.58% ▼ (-0.08)
1-3 @ 7.7% ▲ (+0.03)
1-2 @ 7.68% ▲ (+0.06)
0-1 @ 7.59% ▲ (+0.03)
1-4 @ 5.78% ▼ (-0.01)
0-5 @ 5.16% ▼ (-0.07)
1-5 @ 3.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
0-6 @ 2.58% ▼ (-0.05)
2-4 @ 1.95% ▲ (+0.02)
1-6 @ 1.74% ▼ (-0.02)
2-5 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-7 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 83.67%
