Taca de Portugal | Fourth Round

Nov 9, 2022 at 8.45pm UK

Estádio António Coimbra da Mota

Estoril
0 - 1
Benfica

FT(HT: 0-0)

Neres (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Taca de Portugal clash between Estoril Praia and Benfica, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Estoril Praia

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-5 Benfica
Sunday, November 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Benfica

All competitions

Last Game: Estoril 1-5 Benfica
Sunday, November 6 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 83.68%. A draw had a probability of 10.9% and a win for Estoril Praia had a probability of 5.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 0-3 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.4%) and 0-4 (8.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.11%), while for a Estoril Praia win it was 2-1 (1.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.

Result
Estoril Praia	Draw	Benfica
5.43% ( 0.1)	10.89% ( 0.12)	83.68% ( -0.22)

Both teams to score 46.59% (

0.23)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

71.09% (

-0.11)

28.91% (

0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

50.14% (

-0.14)

49.86% (

0.14)

Estoril Praia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

49.02% (

0.27)

50.98% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.67% (

0.18)

85.33% (

-0.18)

Benfica Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

95.04% (

-0.06)

4.96% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

80.16% (

-0.17)

19.84% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Estoril Praia 5.43%

Benfica 83.67%

Draw 10.89%

Estoril Praia	Draw	Benfica
2-1 @ 1.72% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.01% Total : 5.43%	1-1 @ 5.11% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.66% Total : 10.89%	0-3 @ 11.42% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 11.4% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 8.58% ( -0.08) 1-3 @ 7.7% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 7.68% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 5.78% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 5.16% ( -0.07) 1-5 @ 3.47% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.59% ( 0.03) 0-6 @ 2.58% ( -0.04) 2-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.01) 1-6 @ 1.74% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.17% ( 0) 0-7 @ 1.11% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.76% Total : 83.67%